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Ecospat - Spatial Ecology Group

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- Peer-reviewed papers & theses
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  Habitat Suitability and Distribution Models

Publications

Publications | Masters and Phd thesis

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Publications

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In Press | 2025 | 2024 | ...

A model of mountain socio-ecological systems to catalyze multi-actor collaborations towards sustainability

Cristofari Hélène, Asse Daphne, Chanteloup Laine, Guisan Antoine, Otero Iago, Reynard Emmanuel, Urbach Davnah, Randin Christophe.

[DOI][serval:BIB_75D8B3459246]

In Press

Achieving higher standards in species distribution modeling by leveraging the diversity of available software

Kass Jamie M., Smith Adam B., Warren Dan L., Vignali Sergio, Schmitt Sylvain, Aiello-Lammens Matthew E., Arlé Eduardo, Márcia Barbosa Ana, Broennimann Olivier, Cobos Marlon E. et al. Ecography. Peer-reviewed.

[DOI][serval:BIB_A358185BBEBB]

Identifying focus zones for the conservation and promotion of priority birds in Swiss farmland

Klein N., Adde A., Guisan A., Grêt-Regamey A., Herzog F., Jeanneret P., Kay S. Conservation Science and Practice. Peer-reviewed.

[DOI][serval:BIB_CD9A94B17635]

Climate change threatens amphibians and species representation within protected areas in tropical wetlands

Neves M.O., Broennimann O., Mod H.K., Bolochio B.E., Santana D.J., Guisan A., Moura M.R. Journal of Applied Ecology. Peer-reviewed.

[serval:BIB_201FF852FA16]

Fine scale habitat selection of the European nightjar Caprimulgus europaeus in nesting and foraging areas based on GPS tracking data

Pradervand J.-N., Wildi J., Guisan A., Korner P., Evens R., Jacot A. Bird Conservation International. Peer-reviewed.

[serval:BIB_453413CC8FB9]

Independent trends of mountain vegetation and soil properties over 40 years of environmental change

Rumpf S., Buri A., Grand S., Randin C., Tesson S., Cianfrani C., Guisan A. Journal of Vegetation Science. Peer-reviewed.

[serval:BIB_4A79F01EFF1E]

Can we accurately predict the distribution of soil microorganism presence and relative abundance?

Verdon Valentin, Malard Lucie, Collart Flavien, Adde Antoine, Yashiro Erika, Lara Pandi Enrique, Mod Heidi, Singer David, Niculita-Hirzel Hélène, Guex Nicolas et al. Ecography. Peer-reviewed.

[DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_9607C43737E4]

2025

preview resource BIB_7EEBD652EB82.P001

Herbarium specimens reveal a cryptic invasion of polyploid Centaurea stoebe in Europe.

Rosche C., Broennimann O., Novikov A., Mrázová V., Boiko G.V., Danihelka J., Gastner M.T., Guisan A., Kožić K., Lehnert M. et al., 2025. The New phytologist, 245 (1) pp. 392-405. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][Pmid][serval:BIB_7EEBD652EB82]

2024

preview resource BIB_A27F3F1711EC.P001

Projecting Untruncated Climate Change Effects on Species' Climate Suitability: Insights From an Alpine Country.

Adde A., Külling N., Rey P.L., Fopp F., Brun P., Broennimann O., Lehmann A., Petitpierre B., Zimmermann N.E., Pellissier L. et al., 2024/11. Global change biology, 30 (11) pp. e17557. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][Pmid][serval:BIB_A27F3F1711EC]

preview resource BIB_A3113B3AB0ED.P001

Incorporating effects of habitat patches into species distribution models

Riva Federico, Martin Caroline Jean, Galán Acedo Carmen, Bellon Erwan Nicolas, Keil Petr, Morán-Ordóñez Alejandra, Fahrig Lenore, Guisan Antoine, 2024/10. Journal of Ecology, 112 (10) pp. 2162-2182. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_A3113B3AB0ED]

Broadening the horizon in land use change modelling: Normative scenarios for nature positive futures in Switzerland

Black Benjamin, Adde Antoine, Farinotti Daniel, Guisan Antoine, Külling Nathan, Kurmann Manuel, Martin Caroline, Mayer Paula, Rabe Sven-Erik, Streit Jan et al., 2024/09. Regional Environmental Change, 24 (3). Peer-reviewed.

[DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_716950A0E521]

preview resource BIB_1FA1A405224D.P001

Conservation importance of non-threatened species through their direct linkages with nature's contributions to people

Rey Pierre-Louis, Martin Caroline, Guisan Antoine, 2024/09. Biological Conservation, 297 p. 110733. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_1FA1A405224D]

preview resource BIB_E90EAEA96B51.P001

On the emergence of ecosystem decay: A critical assessment of patch area effects across spatial scales

Riva Federico, Pierre Eléa, Guisan Antoine, 2024/08. Biological Conservation, 296 p. 110674. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_E90EAEA96B51]

Climate change may reveal currently unavailable parts of species' ecological niches.

Chevalier M., Broennimann O., Guisan A., 2024/07. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 8 (7) pp. 1298-1310. Peer-reviewed.

[DOI][WoS][Pmid][serval:BIB_3292A5F446E0]

preview resource BIB_C68C3BEBE8F3.P001

A cautionary message on combining physiological thermal limits with macroclimatic data to predict species distribution

Chevalier Mathieu, Pignard Vincent, Broennimann Olivier, Guisan Antoine, 2024/07. Ecosphere, 15 (7). Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_C68C3BEBE8F3]

preview resource BIB_6EB070111613.P001

How sensitive are species distribution models to different background point selection strategies? A test with species at various equilibrium levels

Steen Bart, Broennimann Olivier, Maiorano Luigi, Guisan Antoine, 2024/07. Ecological Modelling, 493 p. 110754. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_6EB070111613]

preview resource BIB_7CC55F65C6E5.P001

Nature's contributions to people and biodiversity mapping in Switzerland: spatial patterns and environmental drivers

Külling Nathan, Adde Antoine, Lambiel Audrey, Wicki Sergio, Guisan Antoine, Grêt-Regamey Adrienne, Lehmann Anthony, 2024/06. Ecological Indicators, 163 p. 112079. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_7CC55F65C6E5]

Spatially‐nested hierarchical species distribution models to overcome niche truncation in national‐scale studies

Goicolea T., Adde A., Broennimann O., García-Viñas J.I., Gastón A., José Aroca-Fernández M., Guisan A., G. Mateo R., 2024/05/21. Ecography pp. e07328. Peer-reviewed.

[DOI][WoS][serval:BIB_5E95C69F4A48]

preview resource BIB_1D202B5FEA77.P001

To what extent can we predict variation of bryophyte and tracheophyte community composition at fine spatial scale along an elevation gradient?

Collart F., Kiebacher T., Quetsch M., Broennimann O., Guisan A., Vanderpoorten A., 2024/05/20. The Science of the Total Environment, 926 p. 171741. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][Pmid][serval:BIB_1D202B5FEA77]

preview resource BIB_A2062C049527.P001

High-resolution land use/cover forecasts for Switzerland in the 21st century.

Bütikofer L., Adde A., Urbach D., Tobias S., Huss M., Guisan A., Randin C., 2024/02/23. Scientific Data, 11 (1) p. 231. Peer-reviewed.

[URN][DOI][Pmid][serval:BIB_A2062C049527]

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Phd thesis

Publications (16)

Improvement of the Relationship between Biodiversity and Nature’s Contribution to People: A case study on vertebrate and tracheophyte species with 17 NCPs in the Western Swiss Alps

Rey Pierre-Louis, 2024/10/18. 296, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des géosciences et de l'environnement, Guisan Antoine (dir.).

[URN][serval:BIB_22371E8CCB2E]

MODELS, NICHES AND TRAITS: TOWARDS IMPROVED RED LIST ASSESSMENTS

BREINER F. T., 2016., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_3B8F4FBE73F9]

The role of phylogeny in the spatial distributions and assembly of mountain plant communities.

Ndiribe C., 2013/09. 517, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_7DCA97328A7E]

Predicting spatial patterns of plant biodiversity : from species to communities

Dubuis A., 2013., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_3E4F8827C7E4]

Using environmental niche modeling to understand biological invasions in a changing world

Petitpierre B., 2013. 317, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_4FFBC3422008]

Predicting the past, present and future of plant biodiversity in Chile : a habitat suitability modeling approach

Pliscoff P., 2013. 252, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_2B54A153F03D]

Species distributions and interactions in a changing world : from understanding to forecasting

Pellissier L., 2012., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A., Cherix D. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_4C07AD965FA7]

Species distribution models for conservation-oriented studies in Switzerland : filling data and tools gaps

Maggini R., 2011. 235, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_16EF29C539B2]

Evolutionary history and its relevance in understanding and conserving southern African biodiversity

Pio D., 2010. 148, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_5EC20D60D0BD]

Unfolding nature "in silico" : overcoming practical and metodological limitations of species distribution models

Engler R., 2009. 239, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_81BD19FC42D6]

Niche, distribution and global change : modeling insights into biogeography and conservation biology Olivier Broennimann

Broennimann O., 2008. 245, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_B84ED04CB215]

Treeline and climate change : analyzing and modeling patterns and shifts in the Swiss Alps

Gehrig-Fasel J.A., 2007. 132, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_242C1C19349E]

A discrete forest in a continuous landscape : investigating interactions between natural resource management and sustainable development

Mathys L., 2007. 90, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_3832C0AE4532]

Providing more informative projections of climate change impact on plant distribution in a mountain environment

Randin C., 2007. 252, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_DF88CE185D8F]

Changing landscapes of Switzerland: assessing effects of historic and future land uses and land covers on the occurrence of selected butterfly species

Lütolf M., 2006. 126, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan D. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_84239CF155BF]

Modelling tree population dynamics at the alpine and boreal tree-line ecotones in response to climate and land-use change

Rickebusch S., 2006. 126, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).

[serval:BIB_A00D24B11D80]

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