Future of work and impact on social welfare

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Type of project: Conceptual and empirical research 
Departement: Actuarial Science
Date: 2020 - Ongoing
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Faculty

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Giuliano Bonoli

Unil IDHEAP

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Thibaud Deruelle

University of Geneva

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Carlo Knotz (Stavanger).jpg (Carlo Knotz)

Carlo Knotz

University of Stavanger

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Maude Lavanchy

IMD Bussiness School

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Andrey Ugarte

HEC University of Lausanne

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Joël Wagner

HEC University of Lausanne

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SDGs tackled in this research project

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No poverty
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Decent work and economic growth
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Industry, innovation and infrastructure
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Reduced inequalities
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Description

A critical societal development are the technological changes that come with new work models and emerging social security risks. Technology is changing the way individuals work, and the nature of the job contracts they take. New job market realities include gig work, being self-employed or working for multiple employers, being employed part-time and on temporary or fixed-term contracts. These developments bear critical consequences for social insurance systems as individual may not be eligible for coverage, for example, in pension systems. Current research is based on data from a survey carried out with the OECD in 25 countries. Further conceptual research will review selected dimensions in the social welfare systems.

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Articles

J. Wagner and G. Bonoli, Nouvelles formes de travail: Quelles perspectives pour la sécurité sociale, Bulletin de l’Association Suisse des Actuaires, 2020:22–23. https://www.actuaries.ch/fr/downloads/aid!b4ae4834-66cd-464b-bd27-1497194efc96/id!477/SAV_2020_Bulletin_low.pdf

T. Deruelle, A. Ugarte, J. Wagner, The Impact of Technological Progress on the Future of Work: Insights from a Survey on Alternative Employment Contracts in OECD countries, Working Paper, 2022

C. Knotz, M. Lavanchy, A. Ugarte, J. Wagner, Why are nerds afraid of robots? Exploring the incidence of vulnerability to technological change among the higher-skilled, Working Paper, 2023

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